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BALLARAT

R1 2:42 PM R2 2:57 PM R3 3:24 PM R4 3:44 PM R5 4:12 PM R6 4:27 PM R7 4:54 PM R8 5:14 PM R9 5:39 PM R10 5:59 PM R11 6:14 PM R12 6:34 PM

Race 5

4:12 PM
450m · 5 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Ballarat Greyhound Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st CARNIVAL KID ⭐ Best Bet
2nd CONUS
3rd MYSTIC PHARAOH 💡 Saver
4th FADE OUT
✅ Place bet — won outright — CARNIVAL KID finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — MYSTIC PHARAOH ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
CARNIVAL KID P $1.06
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
5
MYSTIC PHARAOH P $1.22
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. CARNIVAL KID FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.75 $1.06 $2.57
5. MYSTIC PHARAOH 5 $2.90 $1.22 $3.64
8. FADE OUT 8 $4.80 $1.70 $4.39
2. CONUS 2 $15.00 $3.90 $12.20
4. SPICE ROAD 4 $91.00 $10.00 $37.92
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.75) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 63% 88% 114
1.50–1.99 this race 52% 82% 278
2.00–2.49 37% 72% 286
2.50–3.49 28% 62% 351
3.50–4.99 18% 45% 60

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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