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DARWIN

R1 7:12 PM R2 7:27 PM R3 7:48 PM R4 8:15 PM R5 8:41 PM R6 8:56 PM

Race 3

7:48 PM
312m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st CONTROL BUBBA 💡 Saver
2nd BEAR THE BRUNT 📍 Place Pick
3rd ENIGMA OUTLAW
4th GHOST OF WADDELL
✅ Place bet landed — BEAR THE BRUNT ran a place
✅ Saver won — CONTROL BUBBA finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
7
BEAR THE BRUNT W $2.40·P $1.30
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
2
CONTROL BUBBA P $1.40
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
7. BEAR THE BRUNT FAV TOP RATED 7 $2.40 $1.30 $3.60
2. CONTROL BUBBA 2 $3.10 $1.40 $4.24
4. HONEST JAN 4 $9.50 $3.75 $6.60
5. GHOST OF WADDELL 5 $4.80 $2.20 $7.48
1. ENIGMA OUTLAW 1 $7.00 $2.75 $8.57
8. HOORAY CARTER 8 $31.00 $7.00 $11.89
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.40) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 31% 86% 42*
2.00–2.49 this race 39% 64% 44*
2.50–3.49 35% 62% 37*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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