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THE GARDENS

R1 2:57 PM R2 3:16 PM R3 3:36 PM R4 4:01 PM R5 4:19 PM R6 4:36 PM R7 4:58 PM R8 5:16 PM

Race 8

5:16 PM
400m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st MY OCTAVIUS
2nd POURING RAIN
3rd SAVINA
4th SHE WILL KICK
❌ Unplaced — PRINCESS DOCKER didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
4
PRINCESS DOCKER P $1.38
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
4. PRINCESS DOCKER FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.70 $1.38 $2.99
1. SAVINA 1 $2.80 $1.40 $4.04
6. COBBLESTONE ROAD 6 $5.50 $2.45 $7.72
2. SHE WILL KICK 2 $6.50 $2.75 $8.93
3. POURING RAIN 3 $12.00 $4.25 $13.55
7. MY OCTAVIUS 7 $17.00 $5.25 $13.91
8. PROUD CHOICE 8 $81.00 $15.00 $32.10
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.70) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 70% 90% 115
1.50–1.99 56% 85% 279
2.00–2.49 37% 68% 256
2.50–3.49 this race 30% 65% 356
3.50–4.99 29% 56% 59*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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