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DARWIN

R1 6:53 PM R2 7:10 PM R3 7:27 PM R4 7:44 PM R5 8:01 PM R6 8:18 PM R7 8:40 PM R8 9:01 PM R9 9:18 PM R10 9:37 PM R11 10:02 PM

Race 11

10:02 PM
312m ยท 6 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st BURNSIDE HUNTER โญ Best Bet
2nd CLIVE'S CHANCE
3rd TEN A PENNY ๐Ÿ’ก Saver
4th SO NAIVE
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” BURNSIDE HUNTER finished 1st
โœ… Saver placed โ€” TEN A PENNY ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
BURNSIDE HUNTER P $1.04
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win โ€” take the place, where it's still strong.
5
TEN A PENNY P $1.80
Saver ยท place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
2. BURNSIDE HUNTER FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.50 $1.04 $2.70
5. TEN A PENNY 5 $5.00 $1.80 $6.21
7. CLIVE'S CHANCE 7 $10.00 $3.20 $6.63
1. SO NAIVE 1 $7.00 $2.35 $6.81
8. LAST ENIGMA 8 $11.00 $3.50 $8.27
4. ROSA'S PEACHES 4 $34.00 $5.75 $19.90
Favourite record at DARWIN โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.50) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 31% 86% 35*
2.00โ€“2.49 39% 67% 36*
2.50โ€“3.49 43% 68% 28*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.