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RICHMOND

R1 7:12 PM R2 7:27 PM R3 7:49 PM R4 8:12 PM R5 8:31 PM R6 8:49 PM R7 9:12 PM R8 9:34 PM R9 10:13 PM R10 10:33 PM R11 10:57 PM R12 11:15 PM

Race 3

7:49 PM

622m · 7 runners

📍 Our record & guide for Richmond Race Club ›

🏁 Result

1st LUX QUEEN LILY ⭐ Best Bet

2nd NINJA STORM

3rd TOMMY BLUE 💡 Saver

4th CHANTANE

✅ Place bet — won outright — LUX QUEEN LILY finished 1st

✅ Saver placed — TOMMY BLUE ran a place

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

LUX QUEEN LILY P $1.16

place only ⭐ Best Bet

Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.

TOMMY BLUE P $1.80

Saver · place

Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Box	Win	Place	Our rate
1. LUX QUEEN LILY FAV TOP RATED	1	$1.80	$1.16	$2.90
6. TOMMY BLUE	6	$4.20	$1.80	$5.39
4. WOLFMAN SID	4	$7.00	$2.65	$6.16
5. NINJA STORM	5	$7.00	$2.65	$7.42
7. CHANTANE	7	$17.00	$4.75	$14.21
8. CELESTIAL MOON	8	$23.00	$5.75	$16.97
2. MISS PENELOPE	2	$34.00	$6.75	$23.06

Favourite record at RICHMOND ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.80) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
<1.50	67%	86%	144
1.50–1.99 this race	50%	79%	351
2.00–2.49	38%	74%	320
2.50–3.49	33%	68%	361
3.50–4.99	30%	58%	71

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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