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DARWIN

R1 7:22 PM R2 7:42 PM R3 8:04 PM R4 8:21 PM R5 8:40 PM R6 9:01 PM R7 9:22 PM R8 9:41 PM R9 10:04 PM R10 10:24 PM R11 10:44 PM

Race 3

8:04 PM
312m · 5 runners
🏁 Result
1st TEN A PENNY 💡 Saver
2nd COCKATOO LODGE 📍 Place Pick
3rd CHEERS MICK
4th SCOTCH FINGER
✅ Place bet landed — COCKATOO LODGE ran a place
✅ Saver won — TEN A PENNY finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
1
COCKATOO LODGE W $2.40·P $1.24
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
2
TEN A PENNY P $1.32
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. COCKATOO LODGE FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.40 $1.24 $2.50
2. TEN A PENNY 2 $2.90 $1.32 $4.11
7. BAGOT BULLET 7 $4.40 $1.85 $7.10
5. SCOTCH FINGER 5 $7.50 $2.75 $7.40
4. CHEERS MICK 4 $14.00 $4.25 $12.36
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.40) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 26% 81% 27*
2.00–2.49 this race 41% 69% 32*
2.50–3.49 44% 68% 25*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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