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DARWIN

R1 7:22 PM R2 7:42 PM R3 8:04 PM R4 8:21 PM R5 8:40 PM R6 9:01 PM R7 9:22 PM R8 9:41 PM R9 10:04 PM R10 10:24 PM R11 10:44 PM

Race 10

10:24 PM
312m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st ZERO CONTROL
2nd FLIP YOUR FIFTY
3rd WILLOW'S WITCH
4th CHRONIC
❌ Unplaced — BEAR THE BRUNT didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
2
BEAR THE BRUNT P $1.40
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
2. BEAR THE BRUNT FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.90 $1.40 $3.83
8. GHOST OF WADDELL 8 $3.00 $1.50 $4.30
5. ZERO CONTROL 5 $6.00 $2.60 $6.47
7. WILLOW'S WITCH 7 $5.50 $2.40 $6.95
4. FLIP YOUR FIFTY 4 $7.00 $3.00 $7.35
1. CHRONIC 1 $18.00 $5.25 $13.88
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.90) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 26% 81% 27*
2.00–2.49 41% 69% 32*
2.50–3.49 this race 44% 68% 25*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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