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GEELONG

R1 2:24 PM R2 2:42 PM R3 3:05 PM R4 3:27 PM R5 3:52 PM R6 4:15 PM R7 4:39 PM R8 4:57 PM R9 5:19 PM R10 5:43 PM R11 6:02 PM R12 6:20 PM R13 6:36 PM

Race 4

3:27 PM
400m · 7 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Geelong Greyhound Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st KALUNA CHAOS
2nd IT JUST HAPPENS
3rd KENSINGTON FLYER
4th JUST BELIEVE ⭐ Best Bet
❌ Unplaced — JUST BELIEVE didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
8
JUST BELIEVE P $1.14
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
7
BUFFALO COWBOY P $2.00
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
8. JUST BELIEVE FAV TOP RATED 8 $1.70 $1.14 $2.81
7. BUFFALO COWBOY 7 $5.00 $2.00 $5.57
2. KENSINGTON FLYER 2 $6.00 $2.25 $6.56
1. IT JUST HAPPENS 1 $8.50 $3.00 $7.38
4. KALUNA CHAOS 4 $14.00 $4.00 $12.48
3. SPRING QUEUE 3 $19.00 $4.80 $13.77
6. SLAY 6 $91.00 $11.00 $41.81
Favourite record at GEELONG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.70) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 71% 96% 90
1.50–1.99 this race 52% 82% 267
2.00–2.49 38% 76% 270
2.50–3.49 33% 65% 356
3.50–4.99 23% 51% 65

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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