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DARWIN

R1 7:25 PM R2 7:47 PM R3 8:10 PM R4 8:27 PM R5 8:46 PM R6 9:08 PM R7 9:29 PM R8 9:44 PM R9 10:04 PM R10 10:26 PM

Race 5

8:46 PM
312m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st ENIGMA GO
2nd GHOST OF WADDELL
3rd BRAVE EMBER 📍 Place Pick
4th FLIP YOUR FIFTY
✅ Place bet landed — BRAVE EMBER ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
1
BRAVE EMBER W $2.45·P $1.26
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
2
BEAR THE BRUNT P $1.28
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
4
FLIP YOUR FIFTY W $8.00
Form view · saver 3.5% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 36.5% (52 starts) · Recent form: 3421
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. BRAVE EMBER FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.45 $1.26 $3.44
2. BEAR THE BRUNT 2 $2.45 $1.28 $3.46
8. GHOST OF WADDELL 8 $7.00 $2.70 $6.65
4. FLIP YOUR FIFTY 4 $8.00 $3.10 $8.28
7. ENIGMA GO 7 $15.00 $4.50 $13.09
5. CHRONIC 5 $16.00 $4.60 $13.69
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.45) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 27% 81% 26*
2.00–2.49 this race 43% 67% 30*
2.50–3.49 40% 70% 20*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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