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DARWIN

R1 7:12 PM R2 7:32 PM R3 7:49 PM R4 8:12 PM R5 8:34 PM R6 8:52 PM R7 9:14 PM R8 9:34 PM

Race 6

8:52 PM
312m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st FLIP YOUR FIFTY
2nd BRAVE EMBER ⭐ Best Bet
3rd CHRONIC
4th DANCE HER HOME 💡 Saver
✅ Place bet landed — BRAVE EMBER ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
BRAVE EMBER P $1.10
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
1
DANCE HER HOME P $1.30
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
2. BRAVE EMBER FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.80 $1.10 $2.60
1. DANCE HER HOME 1 $3.00 $1.30 $3.71
4. FLIP YOUR FIFTY 4 $5.50 $2.15 $6.38
7. CHRONIC 7 $15.00 $4.25 $12.26
5. HOORAY CARTER 5 $23.00 $5.50 $16.55
8. EVEN BACKWARDS 8 $41.00 $7.00 $21.08
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.80) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 25% 79% 24*
2.00–2.49 44% 63% 27*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.