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THE GARDENS

R1 3:21 PM R2 3:40 PM R3 4:02 PM R4 4:19 PM R5 4:39 PM R6 5:07 PM R7 5:25 PM R8 5:44 PM R9 6:02 PM R10 6:20 PM R11 6:37 PM R12 6:57 PM

Race 4

4:19 PM
400m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st HOT TO RULE 📍 Place Pick
2nd GANGSTER GORT 💡 Saver
3rd INDIGO PEARL
4th BUSHLAND BOY
✅ Place bet — won outright — HOT TO RULE finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — GANGSTER GORT ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
3
HOT TO RULE W $2.20·P $1.24
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
2
GANGSTER GORT P $1.30
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
3. HOT TO RULE FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.20 $1.24 $3.34
2. GANGSTER GORT 2 $2.60 $1.30 $4.01
4. KEYS A KRACKEN 4 $9.50 $3.50 $7.66
6. REBORN HARMONY 6 $12.00 $3.90 $8.84
1. INDIGO PEARL 1 $11.00 $3.80 $11.22
7. BUSHLAND BOY 7 $15.00 $4.60 $14.81
8. ONE LAST SHOT 8 $51.00 $9.50 $19.62
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.20) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 71% 90% 114
1.50–1.99 56% 85% 268
2.00–2.49 this race 37% 67% 249
2.50–3.49 29% 65% 343
3.50–4.99 29% 56% 59*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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