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DARWIN

R1 7:20 PM R2 7:39 PM R3 8:01 PM R4 8:18 PM R5 8:35 PM R6 8:52 PM R7 9:09 PM R8 9:28 PM

Race 8

9:28 PM
312m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st BEAR THE BRUNT 📍 Place Pick
2nd THURKETTLE 💡 Saver
3rd WILLOW'S WITCH
4th HOORAY CARTER
✅ Place bet — won outright — BEAR THE BRUNT finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — THURKETTLE ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
8
BEAR THE BRUNT W $2.20·P $1.26
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
1
THURKETTLE P $1.90
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
8. BEAR THE BRUNT FAV TOP RATED 8 $2.20 $1.26 $3.05
1. THURKETTLE 1 $4.40 $1.90 $5.22
2. CHRONIC 2 $5.00 $2.15 $5.87
7. WILLOW'S WITCH 7 $4.60 $2.00 $6.07
5. DIRTY DANCING 5 $17.00 $4.80 $13.57
4. HOORAY CARTER 4 $17.00 $4.80 $13.83
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.20) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 this race 50% 60% 20*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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