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THE GARDENS

R1 3:02 PM R2 3:24 PM R3 3:49 PM R4 4:09 PM R5 4:29 PM R6 4:49 PM R7 5:09 PM R8 5:28 PM R9 5:50 PM R10 6:07 PM R11 6:30 PM R12 6:50 PM

Race 7

5:09 PM
400m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st FASCINATE ABBY
2nd FASCINATE BAILEY
3rd KAELIX NITRO 📍 Place Pick
4th ZIPPING GRESSIER
✅ Place bet landed — KAELIX NITRO ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
8
KAELIX NITRO P $1.34
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
8. KAELIX NITRO FAV TOP RATED 8 $2.65 $1.34 $3.33
4. ZIPPING GRESSIER 4 $2.65 $1.32 $3.50
1. LISA'S VOGUE 1 $5.50 $2.30 $6.37
6. FASCINATE BAILEY 6 $6.50 $2.60 $8.28
2. FASCINATE ABBY 2 $9.00 $3.40 $9.21
3. MISS GRAHAM 3 $71.00 $12.00 $35.71
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.65) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 72% 93% 105
1.50–1.99 56% 86% 234
2.00–2.49 39% 67% 209
2.50–3.49 this race 29% 63% 280
3.50–4.99 26% 56% 50*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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