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R1 7:07 PM R2 7:26 PM R3 7:49 PM R4 8:08 PM R5 8:26 PM R6 8:49 PM R7 9:08 PM R8 9:26 PM R9 9:47 PM R10 10:08 PM R11 10:29 PM R12 10:47 PM

Race 4

8:08 PM
400m · 6 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Geelong Greyhound Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st PAW NATULLO ⭐ Best Bet
2nd BIG MAKO 💡 Saver
3rd POWER AFFECT
4th PAW MADDOX
✅ Place bet — won outright — PAW NATULLO finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — BIG MAKO ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
PAW NATULLO P $1.04
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
2
BIG MAKO P $1.95
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
6. PAW NATULLO FAV TOP RATED 6 $1.50 $1.04 $2.33
2. BIG MAKO 2 $5.50 $1.95 $6.18
8. LANKY LARRY 8 $8.50 $2.75 $6.94
1. PAW VERITY 1 $7.00 $2.30 $8.11
7. POWER AFFECT 7 $15.00 $3.90 $10.66
3. PAW MADDOX 3 $31.00 $5.75 $20.61
Favourite record at GEELONG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.50) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 70% 95% 77
1.50–1.99 this race 50% 82% 237
2.00–2.49 38% 76% 244
2.50–3.49 34% 67% 314
3.50–4.99 21% 50% 58*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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