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THE GARDENS

R1 7:15 PM R2 7:36 PM R3 7:55 PM R4 8:16 PM R5 8:35 PM R6 8:59 PM R7 9:22 PM R8 9:37 PM R9 9:52 PM R10 10:14 PM R11 10:37 PM R12 10:59 PM

Race 4

8:16 PM
400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st PAPER SHREDDER 💡 Saver
2nd TOMMY TSUNAMI
3rd MY MOON SHADOW 📍 Place Pick
4th WOW PARTY TIME
✅ Place bet landed — MY MOON SHADOW ran a place
✅ Saver won — PAPER SHREDDER finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
1
MY MOON SHADOW W $2.45·P $1.08
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
3
PAPER SHREDDER P $1.14
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. MY MOON SHADOW FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.45 $1.08 $3.48
3. PAPER SHREDDER 3 $2.80 $1.14 $3.98
2. TOMMY TSUNAMI 2 $3.70 $1.22 $4.88
4. AUSSIE'S THUNDER 4 $9.00 $2.00 $9.05
7. WOW PARTY TIME 7 $19.00 $3.30 $13.17
8. MISS GRAHAM 8 $61.00 $6.00 $30.89
5. MARVELLOUS DUNN 5 $71.00 $6.25 $49.04
6. JILLIBY JEWEL 6 $71.00 $6.25 $56.75
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.45) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 72% 93% 104
1.50–1.99 56% 86% 233
2.00–2.49 this race 39% 68% 207
2.50–3.49 29% 64% 275
3.50–4.99 28% 60% 47*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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