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THE GARDENS

R1 7:15 PM R2 7:36 PM R3 7:55 PM R4 8:16 PM R5 8:35 PM R6 8:59 PM R7 9:22 PM R8 9:37 PM R9 9:52 PM R10 10:14 PM R11 10:37 PM R12 10:59 PM

Race 12

10:59 PM
400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st ALFIE'S POP 💡 Saver
2nd HOLLIES HAYLEY
3rd RUBY TANUKI
4th PROJECT NEMESIS
❌ Unplaced — ZIPPING SINNER didn't feature
✅ Saver won — ALFIE'S POP finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
8
ZIPPING SINNER W $2.20·P $1.10
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
1
ALFIE'S POP P $1.20
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
8. ZIPPING SINNER FAV TOP RATED 8 $2.20 $1.10 $3.09
1. ALFIE'S POP 1 $3.00 $1.20 $3.95
7. PROJECT NEMESIS 7 $8.50 $2.10 $9.64
4. CERULEAN MOON 4 $15.00 $3.00 $12.30
6. RAINBOW SHOUT 6 $12.00 $2.50 $13.61
2. HOLLIES HAYLEY 2 $15.00 $3.00 $16.47
5. SCOTCH LASS 5 $14.00 $2.80 $16.47
3. RUBY TANUKI 3 $23.00 $3.80 $22.98
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.20) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 72% 93% 104
1.50–1.99 56% 86% 233
2.00–2.49 this race 39% 68% 207
2.50–3.49 29% 64% 275
3.50–4.99 28% 60% 47*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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