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THE GARDENS

R1 7:16 PM R2 7:35 PM R3 8:00 PM R4 8:18 PM R5 8:39 PM R6 8:59 PM R7 9:19 PM R8 9:39 PM R9 10:00 PM R10 10:17 PM R11 10:33 PM R12 10:53 PM

Race 4

8:18 PM
400m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st MISS ARIZONA
2nd MY BREAD ROLL ⭐ Best Bet
3rd REBORN SCARLETT
4th CYCLONE SEBAS
✅ Place bet landed — MY BREAD ROLL ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
MY BREAD ROLL P $1.03
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
6
ELLA KNOWS P $2.40
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
3
REBORN SCARLETT W $8.00
Form view · saver 4.5% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 41.7% (12 starts) · Recent form: 7526
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
2. MY BREAD ROLL FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.36 $1.03 $2.08
3. REBORN SCARLETT 3 $8.00 $2.50 $7.33
6. ELLA KNOWS 6 $7.50 $2.40 $7.41
1. MISS ARIZONA 1 $7.50 $2.40 $8.84
7. NOVEL 7 $23.00 $5.00 $14.43
8. CYCLONE SEBAS 8 $26.00 $5.50 $23.59
4. PROUD CHOICE 4 $61.00 $8.50 $43.08
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.36) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 74% 94% 102
1.50–1.99 57% 86% 228
2.00–2.49 39% 68% 198
2.50–3.49 29% 63% 269
3.50–4.99 26% 57% 42*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.