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THE GARDENS

R1 7:10 PM R2 7:29 PM R3 7:48 PM R4 8:07 PM R5 8:29 PM R6 8:50 PM R7 9:13 PM R8 9:37 PM R9 9:56 PM R10 10:12 PM R11 10:33 PM R12 10:48 PM

Race 1

7:10 PM
400m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st EXACERBATE
2nd PRINCESS DOCKER
3rd CASPIAN
4th LAZY DYNAMITE
❌ Unplaced — SKETCHY BUT NOT didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
1
SKETCHY BUT NOT P $1.34
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. SKETCHY BUT NOT FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.50 $1.34 $3.12
3. EXACERBATE 3 $3.60 $1.80 $4.33
4. PRINCESS DOCKER 4 $8.00 $3.30 $8.61
7. LAZY DYNAMITE 7 $6.00 $2.65 $9.22
8. NABIAC CITY 8 $7.50 $3.20 $9.89
2. CASPIAN 2 $11.00 $3.90 $12.69
6. ZIPPING COREY 6 $26.00 $6.50 $22.77
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.50) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 76% 95% 98
1.50–1.99 57% 86% 221
2.00–2.49 40% 68% 194
2.50–3.49 this race 29% 63% 263
3.50–4.99 26% 57% 42*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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