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DARWIN

R1 7:12 PM R2 7:31 PM R3 7:55 PM R4 8:21 PM R5 8:42 PM R6 9:01 PM R7 9:19 PM R8 9:42 PM R9 10:01 PM

Race 5

8:42 PM

312m · 5 runners

🏁 Result

1st ZERO CONTROL

2nd BRAVE EMBER 💡 Saver

3rd STAN'S DREAM ⭐ Best Bet

4th SYDNEY SURCHARGE

〰️ Best Bet placed — STAN'S DREAM ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver placed — BRAVE EMBER ran a place

Dominant favourite Strong

Trust the favourite — market and model agree. Win-bet race.

STAN'S DREAM W $1.60

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

BRAVE EMBER P $1.12

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Box	Win	Place	Our rate
1. STAN'S DREAM FAV TOP RATED	1	$1.60	$1.02	$2.11
6. BRAVE EMBER	6	$2.80	$1.12	$3.60
8. ZERO CONTROL	8	$10.00	$2.70	$7.88
2. SYDNEY SURCHARGE	2	$14.00	$3.40	$12.15
4. HOORAY CARTER	4	$51.00	$6.00	$25.90

Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.60) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99 this race	34%	87%	38*
2.00–2.49	41%	67%	39*
2.50–3.49	39%	67%	33*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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