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DARWIN

R1 7:04 PM R2 7:22 PM R3 7:42 PM R4 8:02 PM R5 8:22 PM

Race 5

8:22 PM
312m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st WILLOW'S WITCH 📍 Place Pick
2nd INFAMOUS 💡 Saver
3rd TERRITORY GIRL
4th TEN A PENNY
✅ Place bet — won outright — WILLOW'S WITCH finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — INFAMOUS ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
4
WILLOW'S WITCH W $2.40·P $1.28
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
5
INFAMOUS P $1.85
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
4. WILLOW'S WITCH FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.40 $1.28 $3.80
5. INFAMOUS 5 $4.00 $1.85 $5.40
1. TERRITORY GIRL 1 $5.00 $2.20 $5.71
7. CANYA MOLLY 7 $6.00 $2.50 $6.51
8. TEN A PENNY 8 $8.00 $3.25 $7.42
2. SILVERSMITH 2 $14.00 $4.40 $11.38
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.40) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 34% 87% 38*
2.00–2.49 this race 41% 67% 39*
2.50–3.49 39% 67% 33*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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