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RICHMOND

R1 7:04 PM R2 7:25 PM R3 7:45 PM R4 8:05 PM R5 8:25 PM R6 8:45 PM R7 9:04 PM R8 9:27 PM R9 9:49 PM R10 10:08 PM R11 10:27 PM R12 10:49 PM

Race 4

8:05 PM
320m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Richmond Race Club ›
🏁 Result
1st RARE EARTH 📍 Place Pick
2nd MIA'S MIRAGE
3rd SPRING ORCHID
4th PARIS PARTY
✅ Place bet — won outright — RARE EARTH finished 1st
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
4
RARE EARTH P $1.34
place only
Open race with no standout — place bet on the market favourite.
⚑ Honestly? This one's a pass. Wide-open race, no standout — even the market can't split them. Save your money for a clearer race.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
4. RARE EARTH FAV TOP RATED 4 $3.60 $1.34 $4.45
6. PARIS PARTY 6 $4.80 $1.60 $6.06
2. MIA'S MIRAGE 2 $5.00 $1.65 $7.24
5. SPRING ORCHID 5 $7.50 $2.25 $7.49
8. SPRING ARROW 8 $8.00 $2.30 $9.29
1. BILLIE HANNAH 1 $11.00 $2.75 $9.89
7. ALIRA 7 $9.50 $2.60 $13.81
3. KOROISAU BANNER 3 $14.00 $3.30 $17.40
Favourite record at RICHMOND ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.60) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 66% 85% 106
1.50–1.99 51% 80% 251
2.00–2.49 42% 76% 235
2.50–3.49 37% 71% 253
3.50–4.99 this race 31% 55% 49*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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