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THE GARDENS

R1 3:09 PM R2 3:34 PM R3 3:57 PM R4 4:13 PM R5 4:37 PM R6 4:59 PM R7 5:17 PM R8 5:35 PM R9 5:52 PM R10 6:10 PM R11 6:27 PM R12 6:44 PM

Race 5

4:37 PM
400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st DROP A STACK ⭐ Best Bet
2nd CLOSING MODEL
3rd HOT TO RULE
4th ALFIE'S GIRL
✅ Place bet — won outright — DROP A STACK finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
5
DROP A STACK P $1.02
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
2
RAVEN FLY P $1.20
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
5. DROP A STACK FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.50 $1.02 $2.22
2. RAVEN FLY 2 $4.40 $1.20 $5.38
7. ALFIE'S GIRL 7 $10.00 $1.85 $8.82
8. CLOSING MODEL 8 $11.00 $1.95 $11.99
4. HOT TO RULE 4 $16.00 $2.45 $13.64
1. GOLDILOCKS GORT 1 $41.00 $4.20 $29.96
6. KEY AURORA 6 $51.00 $4.75 $30.86
3. KEY JASPER 3 $71.00 $5.50 $37.17
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.50) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 94% 87
1.50–1.99 this race 56% 86% 192
2.00–2.49 39% 68% 168
2.50–3.49 28% 63% 243
3.50–4.99 26% 59% 39*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.