โ€น All races

Q1 LAKESIDE

R1 2:36 PM R2 2:53 PM R3 3:17 PM R4 3:42 PM R5 4:03 PM R6 4:27 PM R7 4:53 PM R8 5:11 PM R9 5:29 PM R10 5:46 PM R11 6:09 PM R12 6:27 PM R13 6:43 PM R14 7:03 PM

Race 4

3:42 PM
352m ยท 8 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st JASPER JONES โญ Best Bet
2nd TINA SAID NO ๐Ÿ’ก Saver
3rd SISTER HOLLY
4th GRAND THUMPER
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” JASPER JONES finished 1st
โœ… Saver placed โ€” TINA SAID NO ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
JASPER JONES P $1.02
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win โ€” take the place, where it's still strong.
6
TINA SAID NO P $1.40
Saver ยท place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. JASPER JONES FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.34 $1.02 $2.31
3. PRECOCIOUS EYES 3 $7.50 $1.45 $5.76
6. TINA SAID NO 6 $7.00 $1.40 $7.70
7. BORNEO GRANDE 7 $9.00 $1.70 $9.42
8. SISTER HOLLY 8 $26.00 $3.50 $18.68
2. GOLDSTAR THEO 2 $26.00 $3.50 $19.57
10. GOLDSTAR COLBIE 10 $61.00 $5.25 $30.96
4. GRAND THUMPER 4 $81.00 $6.00 $48.94
Favourite record at Q1 LAKESIDE โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.34) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 68% 88% 174
1.50โ€“1.99 49% 79% 395
2.00โ€“2.49 39% 73% 342
2.50โ€“3.49 32% 65% 397
3.50โ€“4.99 32% 67% 60

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.