‹ All races

NORTHAM

R1 3:54 PM R2 4:18 PM R3 4:36 PM R4 4:57 PM R5 5:20 PM R6 5:42 PM R7 5:58 PM R8 6:18 PM R9 6:40 PM R10 6:55 PM

Race 9

6:40 PM
509m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st ITALIAN STALLION 💡 Saver
2nd ASTON NERO ⭐ Best Bet
3rd JAI BUBBA
4th VINALES
✅ Place bet landed — ASTON NERO ran a place
✅ Saver won — ITALIAN STALLION finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
ASTON NERO P $1.04
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
4
ITALIAN STALLION P $1.45
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
2. ASTON NERO FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.45 $1.04 $2.26
4. ITALIAN STALLION 4 $4.20 $1.45 $4.35
5. SPOTLESS WAYNE 5 $9.50 $2.90 $8.96
1. JAI BUBBA 1 $15.00 $3.80 $10.95
7. BLAME HER 7 $17.00 $4.20 $15.81
8. VINALES 8 $23.00 $4.80 $16.37
Favourite record at NORTHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.45) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 81% 100% 21*
1.50–1.99 57% 89% 37*
2.00–2.49 29% 68% 34*
2.50–3.49 42% 66% 50*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.