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THE GARDENS

R1 2:48 PM R2 3:03 PM R3 3:24 PM R4 3:44 PM R5 4:12 PM R6 4:34 PM R7 4:54 PM R8 5:13 PM R9 5:37 PM R10 6:12 PM R11 6:29 PM R12 6:44 PM

Race 11

6:29 PM
400m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st ROOKIE RED
2nd LIPSCHITZ 📍 Place Pick
3rd ACE TEN
4th DEMENTIA 💡 Saver
✅ Place bet landed — LIPSCHITZ ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
3
LIPSCHITZ W $2.45·P $1.30
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
2
DEMENTIA P $1.45
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
3. LIPSCHITZ FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.45 $1.30 $3.64
2. DEMENTIA 2 $3.10 $1.45 $4.17
8. BLUE LEGEND 8 $4.60 $2.05 $4.57
1. ROOKIE RED 1 $6.00 $2.50 $6.85
5. ACE TEN 5 $19.00 $5.50 $18.93
9. DELICATE ROSE 9 $51.00 $11.00 $25.09
10. AUSSIE AUDREY 10 $51.00 $11.00 $36.35
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.45) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 94% 86
1.50–1.99 56% 86% 187
2.00–2.49 this race 40% 68% 167
2.50–3.49 28% 63% 243
3.50–4.99 26% 59% 39*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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