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RICHMOND

R1 7:07 PM R2 7:24 PM R3 7:45 PM R4 8:06 PM R5 8:27 PM R6 8:48 PM R7 9:09 PM R8 9:30 PM R9 9:51 PM R10 10:12 PM R11 10:33 PM

Race 9

9:51 PM
320m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Richmond Race Club ›
🏁 Result
1st MIDNIGHT SMOKE ⭐ Best Bet
2nd HEAR NO GRIEF
3rd SIDE SHOW BOB
4th TOFU TOMMY
✅ Place bet — won outright — MIDNIGHT SMOKE finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
MIDNIGHT SMOKE P $1.02
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
2
FAITH IN CAEDEN P $1.26
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. MIDNIGHT SMOKE FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.34 $1.02 $1.99
2. FAITH IN CAEDEN 2 $5.50 $1.26 $5.56
8. HEAR NO GRIEF 8 $8.00 $1.40 $8.62
5. SIDE SHOW BOB 5 $9.50 $1.65 $9.21
4. TOFU TOMMY 4 $51.00 $4.50 $32.33
6. FANTANNA'S DREAM 6 $61.00 $4.80 $43.42
7. STUMPY JONES 7 $61.00 $4.80 $46.47
3. SHE'S THE BEST 3 $81.00 $5.75 $54.81
Favourite record at RICHMOND ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.34) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 68% 85% 99
1.50–1.99 51% 80% 241
2.00–2.49 40% 76% 218
2.50–3.49 37% 71% 238
3.50–4.99 31% 55% 42*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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