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BALLARAT

R1 6:34 PM R2 6:55 PM R3 7:16 PM R4 7:34 PM R5 7:52 PM R6 8:10 PM R7 8:28 PM R8 8:51 PM R9 9:09 PM R10 9:26 PM R11 9:46 PM R12 10:05 PM R13 10:23 PM

Race 13

10:23 PM
390m · 6 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Ballarat Greyhound Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st I'M TOO MESSY ⭐ Best Bet
2nd STARSHIP ATLAS 💡 Saver
3rd GRAY GROUPER
4th PAW OPPA
✅ Place bet — won outright — I'M TOO MESSY finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — STARSHIP ATLAS ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
I'M TOO MESSY P $1.02
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
7
STARSHIP ATLAS P $2.00
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. I'M TOO MESSY FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.34 $1.02 $2.14
3. GRAY GROUPER 3 $9.50 $2.60 $7.07
7. STARSHIP ATLAS 7 $6.50 $2.00 $7.55
8. PAW OPPA 8 $10.00 $2.75 $8.42
6. LORIMER STREET 6 $18.00 $3.90 $11.75
4. PAW MURBELLA 4 $26.00 $4.60 $18.11
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.34) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 65% 90% 86
1.50–1.99 52% 80% 194
2.00–2.49 35% 72% 199
2.50–3.49 31% 63% 244
3.50–4.99 15% 41% 46*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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