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Q1 LAKESIDE

R1 2:38 PM R2 3:02 PM R3 3:27 PM R4 3:50 PM R5 4:07 PM R6 4:30 PM R7 4:50 PM R8 5:08 PM R9 5:27 PM R10 5:49 PM R11 6:12 PM R12 6:35 PM

Race 6

4:30 PM
390m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st ONE LAST BEER 📍 Place Pick
2nd RAFFA
3rd MULLIGRUB
4th BAREFOOT ELSA
✅ Place bet — won outright — ONE LAST BEER finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
4
ONE LAST BEER P $1.40
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
4. ONE LAST BEER FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.80 $1.40 $3.83
6. RAFFA 6 $2.80 $1.45 $3.91
2. TUCKEROO ROAD 2 $4.80 $2.25 $6.07
7. BAREFOOT ELSA 7 $6.00 $2.65 $6.96
1. MULLIGRUB 1 $11.00 $3.70 $11.24
3. MAYWYN'S KING 3 $23.00 $6.75 $16.29
8. FASCINATE MARK 8 $81.00 $17.00 $40.19
Favourite record at Q1 LAKESIDE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.80) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 68% 89% 161
1.50–1.99 49% 80% 376
2.00–2.49 39% 73% 319
2.50–3.49 this race 33% 66% 375
3.50–4.99 32% 67% 57*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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