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THE GARDENS

R1 2:58 PM R2 3:22 PM R3 3:47 PM R4 4:07 PM R5 4:22 PM R6 4:44 PM R7 5:04 PM R8 5:22 PM R9 5:40 PM R10 5:57 PM R11 6:14 PM R12 6:36 PM

Race 8

5:22 PM
400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st SUDDEN SURPRISE
2nd SPARKY KEY
3rd ELLA KNOWS
4th ROCKIN' MIA
❌ Unplaced — SKINNY MARIE didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
1
SKINNY MARIE P $1.26
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. SKINNY MARIE FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.60 $1.26 $3.79
5. ELLA KNOWS 5 $3.40 $1.30 $4.31
8. SUDDEN SURPRISE 8 $4.40 $1.40 $6.83
2. FASCINATE VERN 2 $10.00 $2.35 $9.67
6. DANIEL KEEPING 6 $9.50 $2.30 $9.99
3. RED AURA 3 $11.00 $2.45 $13.12
4. ROCKIN' MIA 4 $41.00 $5.25 $19.57
7. SPARKY KEY 7 $71.00 $6.00 $36.48
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.60) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 78% 95% 76
1.50–1.99 54% 84% 170
2.00–2.49 40% 69% 157
2.50–3.49 this race 29% 63% 223
3.50–4.99 22% 56% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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