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THE GARDENS

R1 2:58 PM R2 3:22 PM R3 3:47 PM R4 4:07 PM R5 4:22 PM R6 4:44 PM R7 5:04 PM R8 5:22 PM R9 5:40 PM R10 5:57 PM R11 6:14 PM R12 6:36 PM

Race 6

4:44 PM
515m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st MY CUPCAKE
2nd ETHANOL SECRET 📍 Place Pick
3rd HI LO RAIN
4th DAISY'S CHARM
✅ Place bet landed — ETHANOL SECRET ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
8
ETHANOL SECRET P $1.26
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model and market disagree. Our top-rated runner isn't the market favourite — we rate a different runner ahead of it. A genuine difference of opinion, so tread carefully.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
3. MY CUPCAKE TOP RATED 3 $2.90 $1.26 $4.18
5. HI LO RAIN 5 $3.60 $1.30 $4.34
8. ETHANOL SECRET FAV 8 $2.75 $1.26 $4.57
4. CANYA BREW IT 4 $11.00 $2.35 $8.76
1. DAISY'S CHARM 1 $14.00 $2.70 $13.69
2. SLICK SAND 2 $23.00 $3.60 $17.79
6. FASCINATE JOHN 6 $21.00 $3.50 $19.62
7. FASCINATE MARIA 7 $91.00 $6.00 $56.50
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.75) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 78% 95% 76
1.50–1.99 54% 84% 170
2.00–2.49 40% 69% 157
2.50–3.49 this race 29% 63% 223
3.50–4.99 22% 56% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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