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RICHMOND

R1 6:57 PM R2 7:18 PM R3 7:39 PM R4 8:00 PM R5 8:21 PM R6 8:42 PM R7 9:03 PM R8 9:23 PM R9 9:47 PM R10 10:07 PM R11 10:26 PM R12 10:43 PM

Race 9

9:47 PM

520m · 6 runners

📍 Our record & guide for Richmond Race Club ›

🏁 Result

1st ASCEND FERN ⭐ Best Bet

2nd TARAWI SUSHI

3rd FEAR TO EXCEL 💡 Saver

4th NOTHIN' BUT CASH

✅ Place bet — won outright — ASCEND FERN finished 1st

✅ Saver placed — FEAR TO EXCEL ran a place

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

ASCEND FERN P $1.10

place only ⭐ Best Bet

Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.

FEAR TO EXCEL P $1.75

Saver · place

Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Box	Win	Place	Our rate
4. ASCEND FERN FAV TOP RATED	4	$1.50	$1.10	$2.24
3. FEAR TO EXCEL	3	$5.50	$1.75	$5.37
6. HOVERING	6	$8.00	$2.30	$6.22
2. TARAWI SUSHI	2	$8.00	$2.25	$8.26
7. BIG TOWN TILLY	7	$23.00	$4.40	$15.35
1. NOTHIN' BUT CASH	1	$81.00	$8.50	$48.15

Favourite record at RICHMOND ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.50) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
<1.50	68%	85%	93
1.50–1.99 this race	50%	78%	223
2.00–2.49	39%	76%	208
2.50–3.49	36%	71%	217
3.50–4.99	33%	58%	40*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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