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Q1 LAKESIDE

R1 3:19 PM R2 3:39 PM R3 3:54 PM R4 4:10 PM R5 4:27 PM R6 4:48 PM R7 5:12 PM R8 5:30 PM R9 5:47 PM R10 6:05 PM R11 6:22 PM R12 6:43 PM

Race 11

6:22 PM
390m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st CANYA SHOTFIRE
2nd SCRUB'S BLUE ⭐ Best Bet
3rd MONTY ZOOMER
4th PROCEEDING
✅ Place bet landed — SCRUB'S BLUE ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
SCRUB'S BLUE P $1.14
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
2
TUSKEN WARRIOR P $1.30
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. SCRUB'S BLUE FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.85 $1.14 $2.76
2. TUSKEN WARRIOR 2 $4.00 $1.30 $4.94
8. HARA'S TREVOR 8 $5.50 $1.55 $7.93
3. PROCEEDING 3 $10.00 $2.20 $11.28
7. CANYA SHOTFIRE 7 $13.00 $2.60 $11.69
5. MONTY ZOOMER 5 $14.00 $2.70 $12.28
6. SNAPPER ROCKS 6 $51.00 $5.25 $34.08
9. GOLDSTAR EASTON 9 $41.00 $5.00 $41.59
Favourite record at Q1 LAKESIDE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.85) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 68% 89% 157
1.50–1.99 this race 48% 79% 364
2.00–2.49 39% 73% 306
2.50–3.49 32% 66% 359
3.50–4.99 33% 65% 55*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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