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Q1 LAKESIDE

R1 3:19 PM R2 3:39 PM R3 3:54 PM R4 4:10 PM R5 4:27 PM R6 4:48 PM R7 5:12 PM R8 5:30 PM R9 5:47 PM R10 6:05 PM R11 6:22 PM R12 6:43 PM

Race 1

3:19 PM
390m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st DISTANT DREAMS 📍 Place Pick
2nd PAY THE PIPER
3rd FROG'S ROCK
4th HILLTOP SMILE
✅ Place bet — won outright — DISTANT DREAMS finished 1st
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
3
DISTANT DREAMS P $1.32
place only
Open race with no standout — place bet on the market favourite.
⚑ Honestly? This one's a pass. Wide-open race, no standout — even the market can't split them. Save your money for a clearer race.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
3. DISTANT DREAMS FAV TOP RATED 3 $3.30 $1.32 $3.77
7. LAST PHANTOM 7 $5.50 $1.80 $6.12
5. HILLTOP SMILE 5 $5.50 $1.75 $6.13
1. FROG'S ROCK 1 $4.40 $1.45 $7.44
8. PAY THE PIPER 8 $5.50 $1.80 $8.15
4. GRAND THUMPER 4 $17.00 $3.50 $16.75
2. FACTORY SECOND 2 $17.00 $3.50 $17.88
6. CONFIDENTIAL GAL 6 $34.00 $5.00 $27.96
Favourite record at Q1 LAKESIDE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.30) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 68% 89% 157
1.50–1.99 48% 79% 362
2.00–2.49 38% 72% 304
2.50–3.49 this race 32% 66% 357
3.50–4.99 31% 65% 54*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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