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Q1 LAKESIDE

R1 2:44 PM R2 3:04 PM R3 3:29 PM R4 3:49 PM R5 4:09 PM R6 4:37 PM R7 4:56 PM R8 5:15 PM R9 5:34 PM R10 5:53 PM R11 6:12 PM R12 6:29 PM

Race 5

4:09 PM
390m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st NOBLE TOBY
2nd MAY MOO MOO
3rd WON'T BE LONG 💡 Saver
4th BIG GRIN 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — BIG GRIN didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — WON'T BE LONG ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
5
BIG GRIN W $2.25·P $1.24
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
1
WON'T BE LONG P $1.38
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
8
NOBLE TOBY W $7.00
Form view · saver 14.4% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 40% (5 starts) · Recent form: 2511
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
5. BIG GRIN FAV TOP RATED – $2.25 $1.24 $3.75
1. WON'T BE LONG – $4.40 $1.38 $5.63
8. NOBLE TOBY – $7.00 $1.90 $5.97
4. ALLEY ACRES – $5.00 $1.45 $6.66
6. TRAVELLING DEAN – $12.00 $2.60 $14.30
7. OCEAN ART – $17.00 $3.30 $16.35
3. MAY MOO MOO – $26.00 $4.20 $17.47
2. BORROWED LOVE – $31.00 $4.25 $20.05
Favourite record at Q1 LAKESIDE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.25) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 67% 88% 138
1.50–1.99 49% 80% 298
2.00–2.49 this race 39% 73% 250
2.50–3.49 33% 67% 290
3.50–4.99 28% 64% 47*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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