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LAUNCESTON

R1 7:05 PM R2 7:23 PM R3 7:47 PM R4 8:09 PM R5 8:27 PM R6 8:51 PM

Race 3

7:47 PM
515m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st MR. REFINED ⭐ Best Bet
2nd ARCADIAN WIZARD
3rd DAY RELEASE
4th SHARON'S SCOOTER
✅ Place bet — won outright — MR. REFINED finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
MR. REFINED P $1.20
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
2
RICO BALBOA P $1.80
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. MR. REFINED FAV TOP RATED – $1.70 $1.20 $2.45
2. RICO BALBOA – $4.80 $1.80 $5.12
4. DAY RELEASE – $6.00 $2.10 $5.93
5. SHARON'S SCOOTER – $11.00 $3.20 $11.73
7. WHAT HAPPENED – $12.00 $3.40 $11.80
8. ARCADIAN WIZARD – $21.00 $4.40 $17.27
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.70) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 74% 97% 38*
1.50–1.99 this race 57% 84% 61
2.00–2.49 22% 64% 36*
2.50–3.49 30% 53% 53*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.