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NORTHAM

R1 3:52 PM R2 4:12 PM R3 4:36 PM R4 4:51 PM R5 5:09 PM R6 5:25 PM R7 5:41 PM R8 6:05 PM R9 6:23 PM R10 6:43 PM

Race 2

4:12 PM
297m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st FIRE UP FROG ⭐ Best Bet
2nd ARMANI'S GIRL
3rd ORANA JOSIE
4th ROAD RAGE GUNDI
✅ Place bet — won outright — FIRE UP FROG finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
FIRE UP FROG P $1.07
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
8
CHAROS FINALE P $1.24
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. FIRE UP FROG FAV TOP RATED – $1.60 $1.07 $2.79
8. CHAROS FINALE – $3.70 $1.24 $3.98
4. ARMANI'S GIRL – $4.20 $1.26 $5.72
3. ORANA JOSIE – $11.00 $2.00 $10.20
2. STOMPED TIN – $34.00 $3.80 $22.28
6. SHINBONER EBONY – $51.00 $4.40 $35.36
7. ROAD RAGE GUNDI – $81.00 $5.25 $39.16
5. SHINBONER TWIST – $91.00 $5.50 $55.95
Favourite record at NORTHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.60) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 56% 88% 32*
2.00–2.49 31% 66% 29*
2.50–3.49 45% 69% 42*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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