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NORTHAM

R1 3:49 PM R2 4:09 PM R3 4:24 PM R4 4:42 PM R5 4:57 PM R6 5:19 PM R7 5:34 PM R8 5:50 PM R9 6:07 PM R10 6:24 PM R11 6:44 PM

Race 8

5:50 PM
509m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st INCREDIBLE ROGUE 📍 Place Pick
2nd INTIMIDATION
3rd NOT ATROCIOUS
4th INCREDIBLE LORD
✅ Place bet — won outright — INCREDIBLE ROGUE finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
3
INCREDIBLE ROGUE P $1.32
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
3. INCREDIBLE ROGUE FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.50 $1.32 $3.29
8. INTIMIDATION 8 $2.50 $1.32 $3.52
1. INCREDIBLE LORD 1 $5.00 $2.10 $5.23
7. NOT ATROCIOUS 7 $7.00 $2.70 $8.10
4. DOUBLE GRIP 4 $23.00 $5.50 $17.58
2. ASTON KENNEDY 2 $34.00 $6.50 $24.19
Favourite record at NORTHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.50) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 96% 26*
1.50–1.99 60% 90% 52*
2.00–2.49 42% 75% 48*
2.50–3.49 this race 36% 66% 61

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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