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NORTHAM

R1 3:49 PM R2 4:09 PM R3 4:24 PM R4 4:42 PM R5 4:57 PM R6 5:19 PM R7 5:34 PM R8 5:50 PM R9 6:07 PM R10 6:24 PM R11 6:44 PM

Race 3

4:24 PM
297m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st CHAROS DREAM
2nd FIRE FLY JOANNE
3rd WIZARD'S NOVA
4th ASTON CREMA 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — ASTON CREMA didn't feature
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
1
ASTON CREMA W $2.20·P $1.20
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
3
CHAROS NOBLE P $1.30
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. ASTON CREMA FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.20 $1.20 $3.31
3. CHAROS NOBLE 3 $3.80 $1.30 $4.76
8. STROLL FUN 8 $5.00 $1.40 $5.94
4. SHINBONER PIXIE 4 $6.00 $1.60 $7.40
7. CHAROS DREAM 7 $15.00 $2.90 $12.14
5. SHADOW MAC 5 $23.00 $3.70 $18.94
2. FIRE FLY JOANNE 2 $51.00 $5.25 $32.32
6. WIZARD'S NOVA 6 $101.00 $7.00 $54.13
Favourite record at NORTHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.20) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 96% 26*
1.50–1.99 60% 90% 52*
2.00–2.49 this race 42% 75% 48*
2.50–3.49 36% 66% 61

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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