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NORTHAM

R1 3:49 PM R2 4:09 PM R3 4:24 PM R4 4:42 PM R5 4:57 PM R6 5:19 PM R7 5:34 PM R8 5:50 PM R9 6:07 PM R10 6:24 PM R11 6:44 PM

Race 11

6:44 PM
297m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st FIRE FLY TOUKLEY ⭐ Best Bet
2nd ZAC'S THUNDER
3rd PAID IN FULL
4th INCREDIBLE MOUSE 💡 Saver
✅ Place bet — won outright — FIRE FLY TOUKLEY finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
FIRE FLY TOUKLEY P $1.16
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
7
INCREDIBLE MOUSE P $1.55
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
6. FIRE FLY TOUKLEY FAV TOP RATED 6 $1.95 $1.16 $3.15
7. INCREDIBLE MOUSE 7 $5.50 $1.55 $6.86
8. PAID IN FULL 8 $6.50 $1.75 $7.07
1. WISECRACKER 1 $7.00 $1.80 $8.08
2. GLOW GIRL 2 $13.00 $2.60 $10.93
5. ZAC'S THUNDER 5 $13.00 $2.60 $12.21
4. ARCTIC CROP 4 $23.00 $3.70 $17.54
9. FEARLESS TWO 9 $34.00 $4.40 $24.50
Favourite record at NORTHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.95) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 96% 26*
1.50–1.99 this race 60% 90% 52*
2.00–2.49 42% 75% 48*
2.50–3.49 36% 66% 61

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.