‹ All races

NORTHAM

R1 3:32 PM R2 3:51 PM R3 4:07 PM R4 4:27 PM R5 4:51 PM R6 5:07 PM R7 5:27 PM R8 5:45 PM R9 6:02 PM R10 6:22 PM

Race 4

4:27 PM
509m · 5 runners
🏁 Result
1st SPLENDACIOUS
2nd INCREDIBLE ROGUE ⭐ Best Bet
3rd INCREDIBLE LORD 💡 Saver
4th MACARONI MONELLI
✅ Place bet landed — INCREDIBLE ROGUE ran a place
✅ Saver placed — INCREDIBLE LORD ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
INCREDIBLE ROGUE P $1.16
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
1
INCREDIBLE LORD P $1.28
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
2. INCREDIBLE ROGUE FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.75 $1.16 $2.41
1. INCREDIBLE LORD 1 $3.40 $1.28 $3.89
8. SPLENDACIOUS 8 $5.50 $1.85 $5.03
4. MACARONI MONELLI 4 $10.00 $2.60 $10.49
6. WALKING EASY 6 $71.00 $8.00 $30.23
Favourite record at NORTHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.75) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 96% 26*
1.50–1.99 this race 60% 90% 52*
2.00–2.49 42% 75% 48*
2.50–3.49 36% 66% 61

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.