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NORTHAM

R1 3:27 PM R2 3:54 PM R3 4:14 PM R4 4:33 PM R5 4:53 PM R6 5:09 PM R7 5:25 PM R8 5:44 PM R9 6:04 PM R10 6:29 PM

Race 8

5:44 PM
509m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st INCREDIBLE LORD
2nd OOSTHUIZEN
3rd GOLD SMIRCH 💡 Saver
4th INCREDIBLE ROGUE 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — INCREDIBLE ROGUE didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — GOLD SMIRCH ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
2
INCREDIBLE ROGUE W $2.25·P $1.28
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
8
GOLD SMIRCH P $1.40
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
2. INCREDIBLE ROGUE FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.25 $1.28 $3.14
8. GOLD SMIRCH 8 $3.10 $1.40 $3.59
3. INCREDIBLE LORD 3 $4.40 $1.95 $5.58
7. MACARONI MONELLI 7 $11.00 $3.60 $11.40
6. OOSTHUIZEN 6 $15.00 $4.20 $13.50
1. WALKING EASY 1 $23.00 $5.25 $16.16
Favourite record at NORTHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.25) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 96% 26*
1.50–1.99 60% 90% 52*
2.00–2.49 this race 42% 75% 48*
2.50–3.49 36% 66% 61

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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