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LAUNCESTON

R1 12:09 PM R2 12:24 PM R3 12:41 PM R4 1:06 PM R5 1:27 PM R6 1:47 PM R7 2:07 PM R8 2:22 PM R9 2:49 PM R10 3:09 PM

Race 4

1:06 PM
278m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st CURRAJONG KING
2nd WANAKA
3rd PRESSING MATTERS 💡 Saver
4th OUR ELLIE 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — OUR ELLIE didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — PRESSING MATTERS ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
1
OUR ELLIE W $2.35·P $1.22
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
3
PRESSING MATTERS P $1.36
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
8
YES EILEEN W $6.50
Form view · saver 10.7% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 41.7% (12 starts) · Recent form: 2143
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. OUR ELLIE FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.35 $1.22 $3.75
4. WANAKA 4 $4.60 $1.40 $5.14
8. YES EILEEN 8 $6.50 $1.85 $5.73
3. PRESSING MATTERS 3 $4.40 $1.36 $6.86
5. DUSTY RICO 5 $13.00 $2.70 $11.97
2. CURRAJONG KING 2 $15.00 $3.00 $13.88
7. KAMLOOPS 7 $34.00 $4.60 $24.33
6. BEARVILLE BRONX 6 $61.00 $5.75 $45.01
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.35) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 78% 98% 50*
1.50–1.99 55% 83% 88
2.00–2.49 this race 31% 66% 65
2.50–3.49 30% 60% 80

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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