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LAUNCESTON

R1 11:41 AM R2 12:02 PM R3 12:21 PM R4 12:39 PM R5 12:57 PM R6 1:17 PM R7 1:37 PM R8 1:52 PM R9 2:12 PM R10 2:39 PM R11 3:07 PM

Race 8

1:52 PM
515m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st GRAPEFRUIT SILLY 💡 Saver
2nd CARISSA'S BABY 📍 Place Pick
3rd ROSIES RETURN
4th TOKYO DANGER
✅ Place bet landed — CARISSA'S BABY ran a place
✅ Saver won — GRAPEFRUIT SILLY finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
8
CARISSA'S BABY W $2.20·P $1.12
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
3
GRAPEFRUIT SILLY P $1.14
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
8. CARISSA'S BABY FAV TOP RATED 8 $2.20 $1.12 $3.16
3. GRAPEFRUIT SILLY 3 $2.35 $1.14 $3.37
5. ROSIES RETURN 5 $7.00 $1.50 $7.39
1. DEWANA REJECT 1 $11.00 $2.05 $9.77
2. HOUDINI'S SISTER 2 $23.00 $3.10 $15.70
6. POWER OF ONE 6 $51.00 $4.80 $30.35
7. TOKYO DANGER 7 $51.00 $4.60 $34.88
4. BUCKLE UP EASTON 4 $51.00 $4.60 $41.05
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.20) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 78% 98% 50*
1.50–1.99 55% 83% 88
2.00–2.49 this race 31% 66% 65
2.50–3.49 30% 60% 80

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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