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LAUNCESTON

R1 11:41 AM R2 12:02 PM R3 12:21 PM R4 12:39 PM R5 12:57 PM R6 1:17 PM R7 1:37 PM R8 1:52 PM R9 2:12 PM R10 2:39 PM R11 3:07 PM

Race 5

12:57 PM

515m · 8 runners

🏁 Result

1st SET ALIGHT

2nd GRAPEFRUIT RACER 💡 Saver

3rd AARIELLA'S GIRL ⭐ Best Bet

4th REIKO JETSON

〰️ Best Bet placed — AARIELLA'S GIRL ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver placed — GRAPEFRUIT RACER ran a place

Dominant favourite Strong

Trust the favourite — market and model agree. Win-bet race.

AARIELLA'S GIRL W $1.95

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

GRAPEFRUIT RACER P $1.22

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Box	Win	Place	Our rate
7. AARIELLA'S GIRL FAV TOP RATED	7	$1.95	$1.10	$2.63
1. GRAPEFRUIT RACER	1	$3.10	$1.22	$4.34
6. REIKO JETSON	6	$4.80	$1.28	$4.95
2. DEADLY BREEZE	2	$18.00	$2.65	$15.89
3. SET ALIGHT	3	$18.00	$2.50	$18.65
8. WIZIN WOODHOUSE	8	$51.00	$4.50	$36.59
5. SETTLE DOWN	5	$91.00	$5.75	$44.52
9. IN THE BALANCE	9	$71.00	$5.25	$46.29

Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.95) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
<1.50	78%	98%	50*
1.50–1.99 this race	55%	83%	88
2.00–2.49	31%	66%	65
2.50–3.49	30%	60%	80

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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