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NORTHAM

R1 3:04 PM R2 3:19 PM R3 3:37 PM R4 3:54 PM R5 4:14 PM R6 4:36 PM R7 4:52 PM R8 5:09 PM R9 5:28 PM R10 5:46 PM R11 6:10 PM R12 6:27 PM

Race 5

4:14 PM
297m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st FORMULA FIRE
2nd GLOW GIRL
3rd ARCTIC CROP 📍 Place Pick
4th GIVE ME ROOM
✅ Place bet landed — ARCTIC CROP ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
1
ARCTIC CROP W $2.35·P $1.24
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
7
SHINBONER PIXIE P $1.36
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
8
JUNK YARD HIPPY W $8.00
Form view · saver 8.7% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 40% (5 starts) · Recent form: 7625
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. ARCTIC CROP FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.35 $1.24 $3.80
7. SHINBONER PIXIE 7 $4.20 $1.36 $6.02
2. GIVE ME ROOM 2 $5.50 $1.55 $6.24
8. JUNK YARD HIPPY 8 $8.00 $2.10 $7.28
6. FORMULA FIRE 6 $9.00 $2.20 $8.99
5. GLOW GIRL 5 $10.00 $2.30 $9.22
3. GRANDAD KEVIN 3 $34.00 $4.40 $24.71
4. WARNE MAGIC 4 $126.00 $8.50 $77.03
Favourite record at NORTHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.35) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 96% 26*
1.50–1.99 60% 90% 52*
2.00–2.49 this race 42% 75% 48*
2.50–3.49 36% 66% 61

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.