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THE GARDENS

R1 7:18 PM R2 7:38 PM R3 7:59 PM R4 8:18 PM R5 8:42 PM R6 8:57 PM R7 9:19 PM R8 9:41 PM R9 10:01 PM R10 10:25 PM R11 10:43 PM R12 11:03 PM

Race 4

8:18 PM

515m · 7 runners

🏁 Result

1st RITZA KRIS ⭐ Best Bet

2nd SPIN AROUND BLUE

3rd RITZA OLD MATE 💡 Saver

4th DRINK TO THAT

✅ Place bet — won outright — RITZA KRIS finished 1st

✅ Saver placed — RITZA OLD MATE ran a place

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

RITZA KRIS P $1.20

place only ⭐ Best Bet

Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.

RITZA OLD MATE P $1.40

Saver · place

Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Box	Win	Place	Our rate
1. RITZA KRIS FAV TOP RATED	1	$1.70	$1.20	$2.60
2. RITZA OLD MATE	2	$3.50	$1.40	$4.29
8. QUICK THINKIN'	8	$6.00	$2.20	$6.22
6. SPIN AROUND BLUE	6	$12.00	$3.60	$12.65
7. DRINK TO THAT	7	$23.00	$5.25	$13.33
4. SMOOTH WHITE	4	$61.00	$10.00	$29.08
3. DAISY'S CHARM	3	$51.00	$7.50	$30.68

Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.70) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
<1.50	77%	95%	79
1.50–1.99 this race	54%	84%	172
2.00–2.49	40%	69%	159
2.50–3.49	28%	63%	226
3.50–4.99	22%	56%	36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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