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THE GARDENS

R1 3:29 PM R2 3:44 PM R3 4:09 PM R4 4:24 PM R5 4:49 PM R6 5:09 PM R7 5:28 PM R8 5:49 PM R9 6:08 PM R10 6:31 PM

Race 9

6:08 PM
400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st MAJOR FORTE
2nd WONKY KEY DONKEY
3rd BELLA RORY
4th RUNAWAY SAM 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — RUNAWAY SAM didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
2
RUNAWAY SAM P $1.28
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model and market disagree. Our top-rated runner isn't the market favourite — we rate a different runner ahead of it. A genuine difference of opinion, so tread carefully.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
5. MAJOR FORTE TOP RATED 5 $3.30 $1.30 $3.82
2. RUNAWAY SAM FAV 2 $2.90 $1.28 $4.35
8. SOFT WHISPER 8 $5.50 $1.70 $7.05
4. CERULEAN MOON 4 $6.50 $1.90 $7.35
6. WONKY KEY DONKEY 6 $7.00 $2.00 $10.17
3. GOLDILOCKS GORT 3 $21.00 $3.70 $18.01
7. SAMJAI 7 $21.00 $3.80 $19.67
1. BELLA RORY 1 $41.00 $5.00 $38.63
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.90) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 95% 79
1.50–1.99 54% 84% 172
2.00–2.49 40% 69% 159
2.50–3.49 this race 28% 63% 226
3.50–4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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