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THE GARDENS

R1 3:29 PM R2 3:44 PM R3 4:09 PM R4 4:24 PM R5 4:49 PM R6 5:09 PM R7 5:28 PM R8 5:49 PM R9 6:08 PM R10 6:31 PM

Race 7

5:28 PM
400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st SHANGHAI SPY
2nd ELLA KNOWS 💡 Saver
3rd MINTER MULWEE
4th SUPER STORM
❌ Unplaced — HOMER MULWEE didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — ELLA KNOWS ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
1
HOMER MULWEE W $2.20·P $1.18
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
8
ELLA KNOWS P $1.28
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. HOMER MULWEE FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.20 $1.18 $3.05
8. ELLA KNOWS 8 $3.40 $1.28 $4.56
4. TIGER TAILS 4 $6.50 $1.60 $6.72
5. SUPER STORM 5 $8.50 $2.00 $9.10
2. SHANGHAI SPY 2 $10.00 $2.10 $11.46
6. MINTER MULWEE 6 $23.00 $3.50 $17.86
3. STOCK'S GIFT 3 $51.00 $5.00 $32.89
9. BRAVE CHOICE 9 $71.00 $5.50 $48.17
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.20) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 95% 79
1.50–1.99 54% 84% 172
2.00–2.49 this race 40% 69% 159
2.50–3.49 28% 63% 226
3.50–4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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