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THE GARDENS

R1 12:12 PM R2 12:37 PM R3 12:59 PM R4 1:24 PM R5 1:39 PM R6 1:57 PM R7 2:19 PM R8 2:40 PM R9 3:05 PM R10 3:25 PM R11 3:49 PM

Race 3

12:59 PM
400m ยท 7 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st MY CUPCAKE โญ Best Bet
2nd JASPER DARKE ๐Ÿ’ก Saver
3rd IMPATIENT ROSE
4th BARRAMUNDI LOU
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” MY CUPCAKE finished 1st
โœ… Saver placed โ€” JASPER DARKE ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
MY CUPCAKE P $1.14
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win โ€” take the place, where it's still strong.
2
JASPER DARKE P $2.05
Saver ยท place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. MY CUPCAKE FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.50 $1.14 $2.30
2. JASPER DARKE 2 $6.00 $2.05 $5.99
4. BELTONE BOY 4 $8.50 $2.60 $8.42
7. BARRAMUNDI LOU 7 $11.00 $3.20 $10.18
6. IMPATIENT ROSE 6 $12.00 $3.40 $10.44
3. FASCINATE GLORY 3 $21.00 $4.40 $17.34
8. FASCINATE JESS 8 $61.00 $8.50 $36.29
Favourite record at THE GARDENS โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.50) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 95% 79
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 54% 84% 172
2.00โ€“2.49 40% 69% 159
2.50โ€“3.49 28% 63% 226
3.50โ€“4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.