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RICHMOND

R1 7:05 PM R2 7:25 PM R3 7:45 PM R4 8:05 PM R5 8:25 PM R6 8:49 PM R7 9:08 PM R8 9:30 PM R9 9:50 PM R10 10:09 PM R11 10:35 PM R12 10:50 PM

Race 4

8:05 PM
320m · 5 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Richmond Race Club ›
🏁 Result
1st MAYBE NEXT WEEK ⭐ Best Bet
2nd NEAR IMPOSSIBLE
3rd LUCY VALENTINE
4th DIRE
✅ Place bet — won outright — MAYBE NEXT WEEK finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
MAYBE NEXT WEEK P $1.02
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
4
FLAMIN' JOE P $1.50
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
2. MAYBE NEXT WEEK FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.26 $1.02 $1.72
4. FLAMIN' JOE 4 $6.50 $1.50 $6.57
1. NEAR IMPOSSIBLE 1 $8.00 $1.80 $7.04
8. LUCY VALENTINE 8 $19.00 $3.30 $11.81
6. DIRE 6 $51.00 $5.00 $25.17
Favourite record at RICHMOND ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.26) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 68% 85% 93
1.50–1.99 50% 78% 223
2.00–2.49 39% 76% 208
2.50–3.49 36% 71% 217
3.50–4.99 33% 58% 40*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.